Three of the four slides above are positive, which suggests a high-scoring game. So consider this a sub-prediction that we'll finally get a shootout in this series.

So far, we've had two pretty tight games in the middle of the series, bookended by a pair of blowouts. And the average combined points per game for both teams is just 202.5.

In the regular season, the league-wide number for all games was 228.4.

With both teams playing a bit looser, Game 5 will be closer to that bigger total, and Boston will be able to cover the 6.5-point spread, despite the game feeling relatively close throughout.

Once all those boxes are checked, Tatum will be named Finals MVP.

Jrue Holiday seemed like the leader in that clubhouse after Game 2. Jaylen Brown appeared on track for the honor after Game 3. Now four games into the series, Tatum leads the Celtics in both rebounds and assists per game, and he's only 0.8 points behind Jaylen Brown in scoring.

A 30-plus-point performance, with Brown being closer to 20, will put Tatum atop that column, too.

At that point, it'll be tough to deny Tatum Finals MVP.